Bahria Paradise Karachi : The good , The bad , and the Ugly

Bahria Paradise Karachi : The good , The bad , and the Ugly

Bahria Paradise Karachi : The good , The bad , and the Ugly as we are all aware that the Paradise map has launched recently , giving investors sleepless night due to its folding prices day by day , and everyone amongst us has questions , about paradise ,

questions like , 
1.why are the prices increasing so rapidly ? 
2.Should I go towards paradise and invest before its too late ? 
3. Is paradise a better option than sports city ? 
4. How does paradise compete with OLD BTK ( phase 1 and 2 ) ? 
5. What impact does paradise is able to put on sports city ? 
6. Would it be a wise choice to pick up an unballot in paradise ? or should I wait for the ballot ? 
7. What should we expect from paradise in the coming 6 months , in effect to the emerging market of OLD btk ( phase 1 & 2 ) which is just on the verge of receiving posessions . 
8 . the current political turmoil , and unstable political situations , would it have an impact on our existing investments and what are our chances ?

as I m being flooded with questions like these , so I am hereby covering it up for all of you One by One .


1.why are the prices increasing so rapidly ?

Bahria my friends has a tradition , a well known practice that exists since the very beginning . 
and that is SATTA . with every new project that is launched , and it doesn’t sell or goes negative , 
sooner or later , SATOLI’s eye that project , and rush towards that project ,

iska tareeqa kaar ye hota hai , k ek team banti hai buyers ki , ek team banti sellers ki . 
buyers ki team mein investors ka poora group hota hai , jo bohat heavy amounts back per rakh ke entry detay hain market mein …. And they start picking up inventory silently ,

20 files 25 files , 50 files … daily base per ….

aur jab ek sath kahin bhi itnay baray level per buying hona shru hoti hai , market mein demand create hoti hai hype create hota hai , and as a result us holding ke malikaan tezi ko dekhtay huay price barhana shru kar detay hain … slowly and gradually , aur market barh jati hai ….

magar , jabtak is massive buying ka impact market mein aata hai , satoli group apni buying complete karke 1000 files apni jayb mein daal chukka hota hai ….

hype create hoti hai , people rush towards that project in fear , ke rate mazeed barh jayega , aur market mein trade activity shru hojati hai , aur market mazeed upar jati hai ….

ab SATOLI group ki selling team market mein apni inventory daalna shru karti hai …

inki buy team low per buying karti rehti hai , aur sell team market per dusri tarf se bechti rehti hai in a very organized way in collaboration with the dealerships .

slowly and gradually , ye apni buying reduce kartay jatay hain , aur selling high kartay chalay jatay hain , 
magar ab inki buying roknay ya reduce karnay se koi farq nahi parhta , kyun ke market mein dusray masoom investors aur genuine buyers wesay hi dar ke maray entry de detay hain , aur inventory uthana shru kar detay hain . aur ye apni inventory nikal kar silently maket se bahar hojatay hain within 3 to 4 months . with profits .

aur ab holding reh jati hai , un logo ke pass , jo ke genuine buyers thay , ya short term genuine investors .

Peechay se buying reserves ka packup hotay hi demand girti hai , aur us waqt jo udhar phans gaya wo phans gaya , aur ab low demand ki waja se market dip karti hai …

ab is point per agar genuine buyers ke pass zyada holding gai , tuo unho ne holding kar jani regardless , 
aur market ne us point per stability pakar leni . aur agar us session mein short term investors greed aur fear mein ghusay thay , tuo ab mazeed buying na honay ki waja se demand rukti hai , aur rates neechay aana shru hotay … investors pareshan hokar apni inventory ek saath daaltay market mein , aur result market crash .

exact same game eid se pehlay SC mein khela gaya tha , aur ab paradise per khela ja raha hai , 
magar paradise mein stability ka chance probably zyada hai , kyun ke paradise genuine buyers to attract zyada kar raha hai due to distance from main gate factor .


2.Should I go towards paradise and invest before its too late ?

agar aap genune buyer hain , sure go ahead and make your desired holding . 
magar , only and only buy a balloted plot . that’s it .

now the question is balloted kyun ? us waqt tak tuo rate barh jayega ….

the answer is , 
ke unballoted files un investors ko suit karti hain jo ek saath 20 files 25 files ki inventory uthatay hain , 
balloting hui 25 mein se 10 hogaye ballot , rate barh gaya profit mein aagaye , liquidate kiya principle bahar aagaya …. Phir ballot hua , phir profit aaya , liquidate kiya profit bhi bahar aagaya ….

ab jo bach gai , wo bas profit phansa hua hai … usko loss mein bhi de diya unbalots ko tuo koi masla nahi unka principle with profit pehlay hi bahar aajata hai . tuo unballots istarha ke investors ke liye suitable and feaseable hai .

on the other hand , jis banday ne ek hi file leni hai , ab investor hai tuo paisa stuck hai jabtak ballot na hua , genuine buyer hai tuo plot se mehroom hai jabtak ballot na hua , aur phir end mein bahria ko galiyaan detay huay paaye jatay hain . lihaza single file buyers do not do this mistake . tareekh gawah hai , lihaza aankhon dekhi makhi nigalnay se ijtinaab kijiye , har sattay ka yehi usuul hota hai ,

ke satta end honay ke baad jitni percentage market se nikalnay ki kahani karti hai aur apni inventory market mein daalti hai , utnay percent market neechay aati hai . depeneding on the fact ke udhar ke kitnay percent holding rakhnay walay apni inventory ko sale karnay ke liye market mein float kartay hain


3. Is paradise a better option than sports city ?

YES , it is , because ,

distance factor aur location ki waja se idhar SC se zyada potential hai ke genuine buyer idhar entry dekar yahaan ki market stable karay , upfront rakhnay wala buyer tuo lazmi baat hai , jakar old mein buying karayga … jo already ready hai developed hai , better located hai , magar jis genuine buyer ke pass upfront nahi , wo idhar hi aaraha hai , aur tuo aur , is baat ka bht wazeh chance hai , ke Paradise na sirf SC ke genuine buyers apni taraf khench lega , aur udhar ke investors ko bhi apni taraf kheench lega . 
magar agar upfront hai , tuo OLD BTK mein invest kijiye , uske paas sabse zyada heavy margin hai growth 
ka .


4. How does paradise compete with old ?

Paradise will always and always remain Lower than old . and personaly on the end of these 4 years I expect old sitting at atleast 50% more price than paradise .
due the the following reasons .

1. Old is on main jinnah avenue , the heartline of bahria . 
2. Has lesser distance from the gate as compared to paradise . 
3. Has more monumental attractions like

theme park 
Grand mosque . 
Theme park commercial 
Midway commercial 
Headoffice .
Ali Palace 
Dancing fountains . 
five star hotels .
jinnah avenue commercials 
night safari
so taj mahal and central park cannot compete with old in terms of monumental and other commercial attractions .

5. Old is on the verge of completion , and verge of acquiring residence , while paradise is a 4 year old cry , or jo jaga jitni zyada residence aur commercial value acquire karti hai , wo utni hi zyada valuable  hoti jati hai waqt ke sath sath aur is race mein paradise OLD se nahi jeet sakta , old waqt ke sath sath mazeed powerful hota jayega in terms of its value and establishment.

6. Paradise lacs commercials , sirf central park ki surrounding mein commercials hain , tuo paradise walon ko kaafi duur jinnah avenue ana parayga to fulfill their commercial needs , it would be like a travel of atleast 5 to 6 km , just for your grocery shopping everytime you need it .


5. What impact does paradise is able to put on sports city ?

Sports city per iska impact negative jata dih raha hai , kyun ke paradise mein ye potential mojuud hai , ke jo log old mein afford nahi kar saktay thay , aur jinko majbooran jakar SC mein lena parh raha tha , ab unke pass ek next best thing tuo old mojuud hai which is location wise better than sports city and nearer to the main gate . aur jis tarha SC ki market pichlay kuch weeks se selling pressure mein hai , and on the other side paradise ka trend upwards ja raha hai , us se yehi zahir ho raha hai ke SC se investment khinch kar ab paradise shift ho rahi hai . so paradise while being on a better location than sports city , is able to , and apparently , IS giving SC a tough time already as soon as the map is released . iska 250 ka own category per 10 touch karnay ja raha hai , jabke SC ko derh saal lag gaya is point per pohanchnay mein , tuo response is evident .


6. Would it be a wise choice to pick up an unballot in paradise ? or should I wait for the ballot ?

as I explained earlier that why unballots are not for the single investor and genuine buyers , please refrain from making any unballot purchases until unless you plan to pick up atleast 10 files and that too as an investor .

7. What should we expect from paradise in the coming 6 months , in effect to the emerging market of OLD btk ( phase 1 & 2 ) which is just on the verge of receiving posessions .

This is a bit too early to decide , but we can go ahead and make a guess here , 
for now , we do not know at the moment , that in the ongoing satta , how many genuine buyers , and how many genuine short term investors , and how many genuine long term investors have made the leap of faith . but , with the selling pressure SC is being observing lately , we can be sure of the fact , that a considerable volume of short term SC investors have realized their profits and have went straight to paradise .

lets say roughly SC has faced a 5% decline till this date , so that means 5% of the SC investors have moved out of SC , and with the continues selling pressure we can deduce that more want to get out of there . if SC had lets say , 20,000 plots . so 1000 investors have gone . from there .. for sure .. 
and if 1000 investors have went straight to paradise , with an average investor taking away an amount of 1 million with him roughly ( as I doubt that p34 till 37 investors would loose their position , they will hold and must hold this place ) the rest I m not so sure of .

so if 1000 investors , take an average of only a million with them to paradise . picking up 1 plot each , then out of 12000 plots , 1000 inventory have been sold . in the 250 category . that’s almost 8% .

but Paradise has seen a price increase of almost 15% on the total price till tis date and growing , 
and that exactly means that we have almost the same amount of genuine buyers , and investors that have rushed to paradise . giving the price the hike it has reached as of now .

now within 2 to 4 months , when the satolis have played their game , and they would want out . 
expect a dip in price , my friends . if paradise stays positive this time , at this rate , ( which is highly probable ) . this would be wonderful news for OLD . as if paradise settles its foot in positive , and SC settles here , or even a little below as established . but do not expect any further price hikes for a long long time from then onwards . it will move at a sluggish pace for atleast a year . atleast until after elections and budget .

phase 1 and phase 2 will be pushed up by this pressure very very hard once they ( SC and paradise) stabilize.
so if after 3 months , paradise 250 category “IF” manages to stay on 3 lac own even . Then my friends it’s a very good news for OLD investors . as the market would achieve the ultimate equiblibrium .

but on the contarary , if god forbid its only the satoli’s doing massive buying hiking up the prices and giving genuine buyers and investor fear of hiking . so expect a massive meltdown once they depart . 
but that is least likely to happen . since Paradise would have genuine buyer influx .


8 . the current political turmoil , and unstable political situations , would it have an impact on our existing investments and what are our chances ?

for now , if you make a purchase , hold it at least until elections 2018 , and the new government first budget announcement . as most outside investor would currently wait to analyse the government scenario before investment . so just hold all your inventory till then and let the market shape up after this launch of paradise . Yes political aspect do effect the property market , bahria is affected the least . but it IS affected may it be very minimal , but it is affected , as investors hold back.

and for new entrants , its better to buy right now , as major indicators are all going positive . 
so there are higher chances that if you expect to wait till elections to buy , then you shall be prepared for a higher price to pay .


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